In a surprising turn of events, former President Donald Trump is leading President Joe Biden by 10 points in the 2024 White House race, according to a new national poll. The Rasmussen Reports survey, released on Friday, shows that 46% of likely voters support the 78-year-old presumptive Republican nominee, while 36% back the 81-year-old incumbent.
Trump’s Lead Extends Beyond Head-to-Head Matchup
The poll also includes third-party candidates, further highlighting Trump’s lead. Independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West received 9% and 2% support, respectively, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein garnered 1% support. Even in a head-to-head matchup without third-party contenders, Trump leads Biden with 49% support to Biden’s 40%. Additionally, 7% of voters indicated they would vote for another candidate, and 4% remain undecided.
Divergence from Other Polls
Despite the striking numbers from the Rasmussen Reports survey, it remains an outlier compared to other polls. According to a FiveThirtyEight average of recent polls, the race is much closer, with Biden at 40.7% and Trump at 40.4%. Similarly, a RealClearPolitics average of surveys shows Trump leading Biden by less than 1 point in a head-to-head race, with Trump at 46.1% and Biden at 45.2%. In a five-way race, Trump’s lead expands slightly to 1.9 points, standing at 42.1% compared to Biden’s 40.2%.
Voter Disapproval of Biden’s Performance
The Rasmussen poll also highlights a significant disapproval of Biden’s performance in office. A majority of voters (54%) disapprove of Biden’s job as president. Additionally, 59% of respondents believe that the government is not doing enough to combat illegal border crossings and visitor overstays.
Former President Trump celebrated the Rasmussen poll results on Truth Social, sharing a graphic that read, “Trump crushes Biden big with 10-point lead.” He pinned this post to the top of his timeline, emphasizing his significant lead in the survey.
As the 2024 presidential race heats up, the Rasmussen Reports survey injects new dynamics into the political landscape. While it stands as an outlier compared to other polls, it highlights the volatility and unpredictability of the current political environment. The coming months will reveal whether this substantial lead for Trump will hold or if other polls will show a closer race between the two candidates.
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